Please read this, especially you bed-wetter sufferers!


Taking a bird’s eye view of the election (Photo by Kyran Aldworth on Unsplash)

Are you feeling increasingly nervous about the presidential election?

There are lots of reasons why you might be feeling this way, and truth be told, some nervousness had set in with me, too. After all, messages like “the race is tightening!” suddenly started to swarm all media. I know I find it hard not to react to that.

But I started to wonder WHO was saying this. I’ve written before about how important it is to get information from a variety of trustworthy sources. I started to ask myself, what information are people basing this notion that the “race is tightening” on? So I went digging.

I looked at a variety of people whose expertise is looking at polling and election data and devising probability models. (People like G. Elliott Morris, Rachel Bitecofer, Nate Silver…

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